Prediction Markets vs. Super Crunching: Which Can Better Predict How Justice Kennedy Will Vote?
One of the great unresolved questions of predictive analytics is trying to figure out when prediction markets will produce better predictions than good old-fashion mining of historic data. I think that there is fairly good evidence that either approach tends to beat the statistically unaided predictions of traditional experts. Read More »
Quotes Uncovered: Revenge Served Cold and Lobotomies
Each week, I’ve been inviting readers to submit quotations for which they want me to try to trace the origin, using The Yale Book of Quotations and my own research. Here is the latest round. Read More »
Incentivized Altruism
Only one in ten Israeli adults is an organ donor and the country is addressing the situation with an innovative new policy. Organ donors and their close relatives will now receive priority if they require a transplant. Read More »
Geoengineering Goes Mainstream
The MIT Technology Review — one of my favorite magazines –
writes about geoengineering in the January/February 2010 issue. Much of what is said in the article will be familiar to people who have read SuperFreakonomics, but it also talks about carbon capture, which we didn’t discuss much. Read More »
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