Opinion



By Steven D. Levitt November 3, 2005, 11:11 pm

Did Richard Daley Steal the 1960 Election for Kennedy?

I met one of (the elder) Richard Daley’s grandsons yesterday. Great guy. At the risk of poisoning a possible friendship, I just had to ask him whether his grandfather really stole the election for Kennedy in 1960 through vote fraud in Chicago.

He said no. And I believe him.

I once had a research assistant spend a month going through old voting records to find any evidence of fraud in the 1960 presidential election in Illinois. We couldn’t find a thing. There are lots of ways to cheat that we wouldn’t have detected, but the easiest ones we likely would have found. Honestly, I was shocked we found nothing.

There is an interesting article five years ago on Slate about that election and possible fraud.


12 Comments

  1. 1. November 4, 2005 8:32 am Link

    What about Ohio in the last Presidential election?

    — Connie Sartain
  2. 2. November 4, 2005 10:42 am Link

    What are the easiest ways to detect voter fraud, just out of curiousity? And did your RA ever put together a working paper that we could read?

    — scott cunningham
  3. 3. November 4, 2005 12:43 pm Link

    Connie Sartain: There is strong evidence that the Ohio results were stolen, but no one prominent has the — something — to come forward with all the evidence. The reliance on easily-hacked electronic voting machines, the machine breakdowns in Democratic districts, the long lines, the issues of corruption of the Ohio Secretary of State and his office — the list goes on and on.

    — StCheryl
  4. 4. November 4, 2005 1:07 pm Link

    I was an election judge at a polling place in Chicago in the 1970s and when we opened the 5 absentee ballots they all voted straight democratic and they all were filled in in green ink in the same handwriting. Now if every precint had 5 extra votes, or more, that could change an election.

    — Mark
  5. 5. November 4, 2005 1:23 pm Link

    I can believe that. One of the illegal things that party precint workers do is use the absentee ballot to “help” elderly people fill it in. The elderly person may not want to vote the straight ticket, but the precint worker is right there with them, so it’s “And who do you want for dog catcher?”
    If it’s your minister (black ministers tend to be democrats these days, white ministers increasingly tend to be republican) what are you going to say?
    Absentee ballots are one way to get around holding the election on a working day, but holding the election on a weekend is better. You have more people available to tend the polling place and make sure there is no funny business and you don’t have to sue your boss if he doesn’t want to let you go.

    — wkwillis
  6. 6. November 5, 2005 12:01 pm Link

    There was fraud and likely fraud that, as you admit, the study would not have detected. Regardless, such fraud was not likely to change the results. Kennedy really did have the support of the denizens…

    — semivoid
  7. 7. November 6, 2005 12:33 pm Link

    Only in close elections does voter irregularity ever get scrutinized. The problems in Ohio, note that I said “problems”, and not a conspiracy to steal an election as some Democrat diehards would think. There were problems in Washington state as well that the Democrat diehards seem to overlook because their governor won a closely contested election.

    Fixing and winning national or statewide election requires a large network of people and I don’t see that happening.

    Local elections in smaller communities however require far fewer people, and would probably never be questioned so that probably happens all the time. I’ve seen a few school levy measures pass by thin enough margins to make me wonder.

    — Captain Platypus
  8. 8. November 6, 2005 3:22 pm Link

    I think that Len O’Connor (an old Chicago newsman) or Mike Royko said that what happened in 1960 was more complex. The story that one of them tells is that the Mayor tried to influence the computer predictions by bringing in the First and Twenty Fourth Wards (where legend has it dead Democrats go to vote) early and with big Kennedy margins. The idea was to have it appear that Illinois was going for Kennedy early in the evening and thus depress the Nixon vote in California. However this did not work in California, and it gave the downstate Republicans (who have also been known to raise the dead on election day) a target to shoot for, that they almost reached.
    In our terms, the election game was one with second mover advantage (in a normal year the Machine would know how many dead Democrats had to show up in the two wards as the downstate vote was recorded). Daley, allegedly, gave up the second mover advantage in an attempt to pre-empt, and it almost failed.

    — Mark Weinstein
  9. 9. November 10, 2005 4:21 pm Link

    How would a grandson know? Given the ages of the current mayor, and Bill Daley, the grandson wouldn’t have been alive.

    I’m not suggesting anything about the elder Daley, but stealing elections is not something anyone is going to admit to, at least anytime soon.

    — Forbes
  10. 10. July 27, 2008 10:23 am Link

    The myth that the 1960 election was somehow stolen is exactly that: myth. I think it originated with disgruntled Republicans who never trusted the Daly machine. But as one reviewer posted, with years of known election shenanigans in the Windy City, it is highly unlikely that downstate and suburban Republicans had not devised their own graveyard voting drives to counter Daly. No party in American politics can claim a monopoly on virtue. The graveyard vote was probably as close as the actual one. Another perspective that was never considered. I remember reading Dave Powers’ and Kenny O’Donnell’s book “Johnny We Hardly Knew Ye.” Granted this was political hagiography of the worst sort but there is a segment where Kennedy receives a call from Daly late on election night and is assured that “don’t worry Senator, with the help of a few friends in Chicago, you will carry Illinois.” Kennedy, after hanging up, related the conversation to his advisers with the comment that he really did not want to know what that meant. Another point: it was always in Daly’s best interest to perpetrate this myth. Having a president who squeaked by indebted to him was invaluable. But even if Kennedy lost Illinois, he still would have beaten Nixon. That is the fact that I never understood.

    — Dennis Bedard
  11. 11. September 19, 2008 7:00 pm Link

    This is what I know for sure what happened In 1960 I was a Democrat Ward Leader in Cleveland’s First Ward. On election night Ray T. Miller, Cuyahoga County Dem Chairman and Dick Daley were on the phone discussing the results. This is what I overheard. The Nixon people were screaming for a recount in Cook County. Daley said that he would agree to a recount if it was a state wide recount. Nixon said no to that deal. There was much concern about Republican vote fraud in souther Illinois. And it would not make a difference in the election. Kennedy would still have won even if Nixon carried Illinois.

    — Francis
  12. 12. October 13, 2008 4:35 pm Link

    My father worked at a small savings and loan in a city 180 miles south of Chicago where the political machine was modeled after Mayor Daly’s. One election day, a customer came in to deposit a (for him) rather large check. He bragged about getting paid to vote for the incumbent 17 times that day.

    There has always been voter fraud, but it can only make a difference in close elections like 1960, 2000, and 2004.

    — Ron

Add your comments...

Required

Required, will not be published

FREAK Shots:

What Does 75 Cents Do?

This week's FREAK Shot.

Photo: Justin Smith

About Freakonomics

Stephen J. Dubner is an author and journalist who lives in New York City.

Bio | Contact

Steven D. Levitt is a professor of economics at the University of Chicago.

Bio | Contact

Their book Freakonomics has sold 3 million copies worldwide. This blog, begun in 2005, is meant to keep the conversation going. Recurring guest bloggers include Ian Ayres, Jessica Hagy, Daniel Hamermesh, Sudhir Venkatesh, and Justin Wolfers.

Annika Mengisen is the site editor.

Naked Self-Promotion

Freakonomics is bolstering book sales at airports because it’s sexy, reports TheBookseller.com -- with or without its Turkish cover.

Wikio - Top of the Blogs freakonomics
Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything

Buy from Amazon Learn more

Archive

Recent Posts

November 18
(16 comments)

Would a Market for Organs Punish the Poor More Than They Are Already Punished?

Below is a fascinating statement issued by Physicians for a National Health Program, “a membership organization of over 15,000 physicians [which] supports a single-payer national health insurance program.”
You should read the whole thing but, in a nutshell: The people who receive donated organs in the U.S. nearly always have health insurance, while a significant fraction [...]

November 18
(19 comments)

Larry Summers for Treasury Secretary

Larry Summers
There is a lot of speculation about whether President-elect Barack Obama will choose Larry Summers to be his Treasury Secretary. But some people are openly opposing Summers’s appointment, in part because of controversial comments he made about women in science.
It’s a close question, but I’m hoping that Obama appoints Summers. I have three reasons:
First, [...]

November 18
(7 comments)

Boston Legal Way Classier Than Beauty and the Geek?

Thanks to all the readers who wrote in last week with news that Freakonomics was mentioned on the TV show Boston Legal.
It happened at the end, when the William Shatner character and the James Spader character were having their ritual end-of-the-episode scotch, musing about law and the world.
Alan Shore (Spader): Well, it’s possible [...]

November 18
(20 comments)

Is France Due for Riots?

Photo: cicilief In my last post, I offered several reasons why the urban riot has gone out of style in the U.S.
However, France will not be spared the sword. I predict that the world will watch French cities light up in youth unrest in 2009, 2010 at the latest … 2011 for sure.
I have been [...]

November 18
(110 comments)

A Beet Paradox

Photo: Darwin Bell
Beets are the new broccoli. Or at least they will be after Obama takes office on January 20, as the president-elect recently revealed his distaste for this vitamin-laden root vegetable. And Obama is not alone: Even as beet salads have become popular in trendy eateries, most American kids I know also reject the [...]

Stuff We Weren't Paid to Endorse

1. Go to Hulu.com. 2. Choose Arrested Development. 3. Start with Season 1 and then watch every episode of all three seasons. 4. You can thank me later. (SJD)

I can scarcely tell a scarlet tanager from Scarlett O’Hara, but The Life of the Skies had me transfixed from the first page. Jonathan Rosen -- who happens to be a friend of mine -- writes with astounding insight, wit, and compassion. The story he tells here is the best kind of odyssey, an outward journey that ends up highlighting the beauty and daring that live inside of us. Here's a Times review of the book, and here's an earlier blog post about the book and the power of suggestion. (SJD)

Even if you don’t have a son fighting in Iraq, even if you don’t read poetry, even if you think you are immune to the power of a mother’s lament – pick up The Warrior and read it right away. Fran Richey has written some of the most powerful stories I’ve ever encountered. It is obvious that her life was changed by living these poems; yours may well be changed by reading them. (SJD)

From the Opinion Blogs

Necessary Steps
Inching Along the Edge of the World

In his last walk of the series, the author manages to avoid stepping out into thin air.

Abstract City
New York Cheat Sheets

All New Yorkers develop tricks that allow them to stay ahead of the pack in daily life. Here I offer some of mine in a couple of handy charts.

Feeds

  • Subscribe to the RSS Feed
  • Subscribe to the Atom Feed