Opinion



By Stephen J. Dubner July 6, 2007, 3:15 pm

Don’t Forget to Place Your Bets Tomorrow

Tomorrow’s date is 7/7/07. If you believe in lucky 7’s (the influence of which we’ve written about before), it’s a good day. During a recent trip to Las Vegas, I was told by one casino executive that never in the history of Vegas have the hotels been booked so far in advance as they are for tomorrow. I predict that the New York Times wedding page will be pretty full this Sunday — although, are the people who post their wedding announcements in the Times really the type to believe in luck?


19 Comments

  1. 1. July 6, 2007 3:28 pm Link

    I seem to remember that some state lotteries were canceled on 7/7/77, because if that number actually came up it would have bankrupt the state. Must have been some sort of pick-your-own with a guaranteed prize.

    — wk633
  2. 2. July 6, 2007 3:43 pm Link

    Re: The wedding thing

    There have been several articles locally (Nashville, TN) about many Christians who are getting married on 07/07.07 because it represents some sort of biblical covenant, so the NY Times announcements may be more reflective of the biblical significance than of “lucky #7.”

    Terri

    — Terri.Barger
  3. 3. July 6, 2007 4:17 pm Link

    I was married on 7/7, but not because of the significance of the 7, but rather because it is a “romantic day” to be married as it is the Japanese Holiday of Tanabata (Star Festival).

    I’m happily divorced now, so maybe I will go Vegas after all.

    — TheBigDuck
  4. 4. July 6, 2007 4:21 pm Link

    @wk633: were there state lotteries in 1977? And the lotteries just pay a portion of what they take in, the state doesn’t pay it.

    I have a Lucky Seven Quiz running tomorrow. Play early and play often.

    — goinglikesixty
  5. 5. July 6, 2007 4:36 pm Link

    I’m betting that tomorrow miracles happen every 20 seconds and disasters happen at the regular rate. Say every 20 seconds? Yep, going to be a special day.

    — egretman
  6. 6. July 6, 2007 4:41 pm Link

    I’m betting that tomorrow is my mom’s birthday.
    any takers?

    — discordian
  7. 7. July 6, 2007 10:07 pm Link

    I feel lucky to be the seventh commenter in this thread. It seems like a lot of people are in a betting mood. This reminds me of the “Limits to Growth” issued by the Club of Rome in the early ’70’s that was challenged with a bet by another expert. The predictions did not happen but the winner of the bet was not able to collect since the proponent of the idea died early. Similar calls are being made now and the stakes are getting higher. I hope that someone collects the winning this time.

    http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/06/global_warming_bet/

    LLP

    — LLP
  8. 8. July 6, 2007 10:14 pm Link

    Correction:

    Sorry to make a mistake in my earlier post. After some research I found the following:

    he Club of Rome’s mistakes have not tarnished its confidence. It more recently issued to wide acclaim “Beyond the Limits”, a book that essentially said: although we were too pessimistic about the future before, we remain equally pessimistic about the future today. But environmentalists have been a little more circumspect since 1990 about predicting the exhaustion of minerals. That year, a much-feted environmentalist called Paul Ehrlich, whose words will prove an inexhaustible (though not infinite: there is a difference) reserve of misprediction for this article, sent an economist called Julian Simon a cheque for $570.07 in settlement of a wager.

    Source:

    http://www.ecoglobe.org/nz/sustain/econ1010.htm

    — LLP
  9. 9. July 7, 2007 3:04 am Link

    If you think 777 is bad… wait till 888 (Eight, in Chinese, sounds similar to riches) comes along and the entire Chinese population rushes to the casinos!

    — jcl
  10. 10. July 7, 2007 11:27 am Link

    An alternative reason for why the hotels are so booked is because this is the World Series Of Poker Main Event. Biggest poker tournament of the year!

    — eh
  11. 11. July 7, 2007 9:13 pm Link

    Hey what happened to the 1800 betting places?? You big buster, I’m going to stir your town!!

    .lermit (faithful bet)

    — lermit
  12. 12. July 8, 2007 1:04 am Link

    I don’t understand how the triple sevens can have anything to do with biblical covenants, or why its lucky but I’m not a gambler. On a different note I wonder how many people are trying to get pregnant today.

    — hyrumberg
  13. 13. July 8, 2007 9:52 am Link

    thank you.

    — mjsohbet
  14. 14. July 8, 2007 7:39 pm Link

    I predict that the New York Times wedding page will be pretty full this Sunday — although, are the people who post their wedding announcements in the Times really the type to believe in luck?

    Gothamist has a weekly roundup of the Times’ wedding announcements.

    — prosa
  15. 15. July 8, 2007 10:14 pm Link

    If you think 777 is bad… wait till 888 (Eight, in Chinese, sounds similar to riches)
    Thanks

    http://reliablehosting.ws/

    — asanka123
  16. 16. July 9, 2007 5:29 am Link

    Of course, if you live in the UK, 7/7 signifies the date on which more than fifty people died in a series of bombings on public transport in London.

    Have a care, guys and gals, have a care…

    — Luke Collins
  17. 17. July 9, 2007 9:08 am Link

    this post makes no sense- the world ended on 6/6/06

    — frankenduf
  18. 18. July 9, 2007 11:55 am Link

    Re believing in luck: While wealth and superstitiousness are almost certainly negatively correlated, it isn’t *that* strong a correlation. There’s plenty of counterexamples willing to do things like get married on a specific date because the digits in the date form a nifty pattern.

    — Alsadius
  19. 19. July 9, 2007 12:29 pm Link

    eh - is it possible the poker tournament was scheduled for 7/7/7 because of the “lucky” element for marketing purposes?

    After all - 7-7-7 evokes images of a slot machine.

    — Ike Pigott

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About Freakonomics

Stephen J. Dubner is an author and journalist who lives in New York City.

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Steven D. Levitt is a professor of economics at the University of Chicago.

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Their book Freakonomics has sold 3 million copies worldwide. This blog, begun in 2005, is meant to keep the conversation going. Recurring guest bloggers include Ian Ayres, Jessica Hagy, Daniel Hamermesh, Sudhir Venkatesh, and Justin Wolfers.

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